Rayo Zuliano 0-4 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.67
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.73
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
20%
4.29
6+
7%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.96
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
12%
6.47
X/2
15%
4.68
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.15
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
3.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
0-4
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.55 xG 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano ran out comfortable winners over Rayo Zuliano 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sportivo Ameliano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 53% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 47%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.55 to 2.17.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Rayo Zuliano 0-4 Sportivo Ameliano in the Copa Sudamericana on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 29%, draw 29%, Sportivo Ameliano 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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