Danubio vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Danubio v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Danubio 0-1 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense edged past Danubio 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Atletico Paranaense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Danubio had 42% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 58%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.22 to 0.46.
What was the final score of Danubio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Danubio 0-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Copa Sudamericana on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Danubio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Danubio 31%, draw 31%, Atletico Paranaense 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.