Stuttgart 0-1 Heidenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over Pick
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
19%
5.17
2-3
41%
1.99
4-5
27%
2.66
6+
13%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.78
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
16.25
X/1
14%
4.18
X/2
9%
12.95
X/X
7%
7.3
2/1
9%
19.4
2/2
7%
9.68
2/X
7%
18.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
2.03/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.63
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +45%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.4 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Heidenheim
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.84 xG 1.23
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
548 Passes 213
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-3 HT 1-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
31.03.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-3 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
05.11.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
29.01.2020 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-0 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
04.08.2019 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-2 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
22.07.2017 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
0-1
AWAY Heidenheim
1.87 xG 0.27
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
640 Passes 230
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Heidenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim squeezed past Stuttgart 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Stuttgart carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stuttgart had 70% of the ball to Heidenheim's 30%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.87 to 0.27 — on chances, Stuttgart could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stuttgart and 1.67 for Heidenheim.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Heidenheim?

Stuttgart 0-1 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Heidenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 55%, draw 23%, Heidenheim 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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