Greuther Fürth vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greuther Fürth v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals
Greuther Fürth vs Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Greuther Fürth 0-1 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics
Ulm 1846 squeezed past Greuther Fürth 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Greuther Fürth had 52% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 48%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.62 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Greuther Fürth.
What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Ulm 1846?
Greuther Fürth 0-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Ulm 1846?
Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 45%, draw 25%, Ulm 1846 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.