Hertha Berlin 1-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.28
2-3 Goals
35%
2.12
4-5 Goals
31%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.16
1/2
5%
23.75
1/X
6%
12.0
X/1
10%
6.05
X/2
10%
6.79
X/X
10%
6.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.55
2/2
19%
3.78
2/X
8%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.55 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.8pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +26%
1.57/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.64
+37% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
19.3 Crosses 11.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Magdeburg
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.34 xG 2.02
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
288 Passes 453
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-3 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
16.02.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
02.09.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 6-4 HT 2-3 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
1-1
AWAY Magdeburg
1.11 xG 2.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 391
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 37
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin and Magdeburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 45% of the ball to Magdeburg's 55%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.11 to 2.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Hertha Berlin and 3.00 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Magdeburg?

Hertha Berlin 1-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 42%, draw 23%, Magdeburg 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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