Arsenal U21 2-1 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 25 Apr 2025

Arsenal U21
2-1 HT 1-0
Newcastle United U21
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League 2 (League 1) – 2024/2025

Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
36%
3.8
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.23
Over 2.5
43%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
55%
-11.4pp
37%
Draw
22%
+14.2pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal U21 v Newcastle United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.18/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.77
+30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newcastle United U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
30 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
462 Passes 288
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.02.2025 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 4-1 HT 3-0 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 INGPL2

Arsenal U21 2-1 Newcastle United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
2-1
AWAY Newcastle United U21
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
439 Passes 225
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 nicked a narrow win over Newcastle United U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal U21 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 64% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 36%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Arsenal U21 2-1 Newcastle United U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 44%, draw 37%, Newcastle United U21 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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