Arsenal U21 4-1 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.4pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.62/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.35
+20% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.2 Crosses 10.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
4-1
AWAY Newcastle United U21
60% Ball Possession 40%
30 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
462 Passes 288
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 cruised past Newcastle United U21 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal U21 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 60% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 40%, shots finished 30-12.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Arsenal U21 4-1 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 51%, draw 19%, Newcastle United U21 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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