Middlesbrough U21 0-3 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
34%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.1pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.52/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.95/0.52
+29% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +65%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.8 Crosses 20.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
0-3
AWAY Manchester City U21
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
151 Passes 383
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 swept aside Middlesbrough U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City U21 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 34% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 66%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Middlesbrough U21 0-3 Manchester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 30%, draw 22%, Manchester City U21 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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