Southampton U21 3-3 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.35
No
50%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.2pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
70%
-20.0pp
50%
BTTS No
30%
+20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
3.06/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+29% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +125%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses 13.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
3-3
AWAY Sunderland U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
350 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 and Sunderland U21 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Southampton U21 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Southampton U21 had 54% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 46%, shots finished 23-16.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Southampton U21 3-3 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 41%, draw 30%, Sunderland U21 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Southampton U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5
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