Chelsea U21 2-0 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.1pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.98/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.52
-57% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -57%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 7.1
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester United U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.59 xG 1.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
453 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2024 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 3-2 HT 2-0 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
2-0
AWAY Manchester United U21
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
284 Passes 474
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 beat Manchester United U21 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 38% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 62%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Chelsea U21 2-0 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 41%, draw 24%, Manchester United U21 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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