Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.75
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.71/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.32
+31% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.4 Crosses 19.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.62 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
392 Passes 624
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.07.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
01.04.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
27.10.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JPK
28.09.2019 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
09.03.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
23.11.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
0-3
AWAY Oita Trinita
76% Ball Possession 24%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
636 Passes 129
87% Pass Accuracy 57%
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita ran out comfortable winners over Jubilo Iwata 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jubilo Iwata at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 76% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 24%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.50 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita?

Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 42%, draw 30%, Oita Trinita 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Jubilo Iwata), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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