Babrungas 1-1 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.51/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.82
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +61%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 3-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
10.05.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
07.10.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 HT 5-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
19.05.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
05.11.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-3 HT 1-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
01.07.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 1-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babrungas
1-1
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas and Neptüna Klaipeda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Babrungas had 55% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 45%, shots finished 4-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Babrungas and 2.00 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Babrungas 1-1 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 36%, draw 30%, Neptüna Klaipeda 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Babrungas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ BTTS Yes
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