Central Cordoba Santiago 2-1 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.64
Over
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.47
2-3
45%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.39
6+
8%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.72
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
22.0
X/1
21%
3.49
X/2
7%
16.3
X/X
12%
5.09
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
6%
16.5
2/X
10%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.2pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
Crosses 10.4
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
2.16 xG 0.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
372 Passes 465
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Cordoba Santiago vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Cordoba Santiago edged past Deportivo Tachira 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central Cordoba Santiago as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Cordoba Santiago had 45% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 55%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.16 to 0.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Central Cordoba Santiago's control.

What was the final score of Central Cordoba Santiago vs Deportivo Tachira?

Central Cordoba Santiago 2-1 Deportivo Tachira in the Copa Libertadores on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Cordoba Santiago vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Cordoba Santiago win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Central Cordoba Santiago 58%, draw 25%, Deportivo Tachira 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Cordoba Santiago) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Cordoba Santiago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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