Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-0 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.64
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 36% vs market 30.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.60/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.31
+19% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -25%
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
213 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
24.1 Crosses 20.4
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Debrecen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.46 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
176 Passes 279
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 3-1 HT 1-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
21.09.2024 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-2 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
11.04.2021 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
25.10.2020 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC2
30.06.2018 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 2-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus HAZ
09.02.2016 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-2 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1-0
AWAY Debrecen
2.05 xG 1.10
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
182 Passes 272
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus squeezed past Debrecen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nyiregyhaza Spartacus found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus had 42% of the ball to Debrecen's 58%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.05 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and 1.83 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Debrecen?

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-0 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 29%, draw 32%, Debrecen 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Debrecen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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