NK Brinje 1-0 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.03
Over
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
NK Brinje win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.51/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.71
-16% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Brinje
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tolmin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2024 Tolmin Tolmin 3-0 HT 2-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
17.03.2024 NK Brinje NK Brinje 1-0 HT 1-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
04.09.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 0-3 HT 0-2 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
POST-MATCH NK Brinje vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje nicked a narrow win over Tolmin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, NK Brinje had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NK Brinje and 1.00 for Tolmin.

What was the final score of NK Brinje vs Tolmin?

NK Brinje 1-0 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Brinje vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split NK Brinje 59%, draw 21%, Tolmin 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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