Beşiktaş 5-1 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
3.59
Over
56%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
22%
8.44
2-3
39%
2.38
4-5
25%
2.3
6+
14%
3.62
Value flag · 0-1 at 8.44 — our 22% vs market 7.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Beşiktaş win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-12.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.91/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.54
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.5 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
399 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
18.05.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-2 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
25.12.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
24.10.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
19.03.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
30.10.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
5-1
AWAY Hatayspor
3.45 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
362 Passes 342
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
45 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş cruised past Hatayspor 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 52% of the ball to Hatayspor's 48%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 3.45 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hatayspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.33 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Hatayspor?

Beşiktaş 5-1 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 61%, draw 22%, Hatayspor 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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