Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.48
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.38
Over
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.62
2-3
41%
1.87
4-5
23%
2.64
6+
11%
6.87
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.62 — our 25% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
20%
+14.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
59%
-13.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 62%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.04/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.43
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Torquay United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Torquay United Torquay United 1-2 HT 0-2 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
08.03.2025 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
09.11.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 0-0 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
16.03.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 4-1 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
02.12.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
18.12.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-1 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
1-2
AWAY Torquay United
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United edged past Tonbridge Angels 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torquay United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 51% of the ball to Torquay United's 49%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 1.00 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United?

Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 34%, draw 21%, Torquay United 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5
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