Tonbridge Angels 4-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.84/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.72
+29% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
18.12.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-1 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
4-1
AWAY Torquay United
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels cruised past Torquay United 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Tonbridge Angels made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 43% of the ball to Torquay United's 57%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 1.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United?

Tonbridge Angels 4-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 37%, draw 30%, Torquay United 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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