Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.60/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.66
-17% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Salisbury
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
30.11.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 5-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
10.08.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1-1
AWAY Salisbury
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town and Salisbury shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hemel Hempstead Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 49% of the ball to Salisbury's 51%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Salisbury led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 2.67 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 53%, draw 23%, Salisbury 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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