Worthing 2-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.91
2-3 Goals
37%
2.16
4-5 Goals
28%
2.32
6+ Goals
15%
4.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.5pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.97/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.28
+10% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
07.03.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 7-2 HT 3-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
06.12.2022 Worthing Worthing 0-6 HT 0-4 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing beat Ebbsfleet United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Worthing had 56% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 44%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Worthing and 4.67 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Ebbsfleet United?

Worthing 2-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Worthing 54%, draw 23%, Ebbsfleet United 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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