Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +9%
1.22/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.61
-15% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Worthing
6.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 7-2 HT 3-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
06.12.2022 Worthing Worthing 0-6 HT 0-4 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-2
AWAY Worthing
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing edged past Ebbsfleet United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ebbsfleet United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 48% of the ball to Worthing's 52%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 6.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.00 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Worthing?

Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 42%, draw 22%, Worthing 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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