AFC Telford United 2-2 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
2.37/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.64
+44% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Southport
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
27.08.2022 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
02.05.2022 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
08.02.2022 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-3 HT 0-1 Southport Southport İCON
06.04.2015 Southport Southport 0-3 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İBSL
25.08.2014 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 3-3 HT 1-2 Southport Southport İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
2-2
AWAY Southport
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United and Southport shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Telford United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 46% of the ball to Southport's 54%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AFC Telford United and 1.33 for Southport.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Southport?

AFC Telford United 2-2 Southport in the England - Conference on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 52%, draw 21%, Southport 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Telford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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