Chippenham Town 1-3 Horsham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.49
6+ Goals
7%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 33% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsham EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.45/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.00
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Horsham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsham got the better of Chippenham Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Horsham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Horsham?

Chippenham Town 1-3 Horsham in the England - Conference on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Horsham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Horsham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 30%, draw 31%, Horsham 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Horsham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Horsham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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