Chesham United 0-1 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.35
-33% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
0-1
AWAY Dover Athletic
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dover Athletic nicked a narrow win over Chesham United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chesham United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chesham United had 59% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 41%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Dover Athletic?

Chesham United 0-1 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 46%, draw 24%, Dover Athletic 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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