Salisbury 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
0.94/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.36
-28% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 5-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
10.08.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury squeezed past Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hemel Hempstead Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Salisbury had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Salisbury and 1.00 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Salisbury 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 29%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
6 Dec 2025
18:00 AFC Telford United vs Southport Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs AFC Hornchurch Analysis →
18:00 Torquay United vs Tonbridge Angels Analysis →
18:00 Chippenham Town vs Horsham Analysis →
18:00 Chesham United vs Dover Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Worthing Analysis →