FBK Karlstad 1-0 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
15%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.7pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 22%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
2.02/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/2.83
-7% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FBK Karlstad
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stocksund
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.08.2024 Stocksund Stocksund 2-2 HT 2-1 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ3
14.04.2024 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 4-2 HT 2-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
1-0
AWAY Stocksund
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad squeezed past Stocksund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FBK Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 42% of the ball to Stocksund's 58%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FBK Karlstad had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FBK Karlstad and 2.00 for Stocksund.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Stocksund?

FBK Karlstad 1-0 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 57%, draw 21%, Stocksund 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FBK Karlstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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