Lunds BK 1-0 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.32/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.13
-20% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tvaaker
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-1 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
19.05.2024 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
21.10.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 2-1 HT 0-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
01.04.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
13.08.2022 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
02.04.2022 Tvaaker Tvaaker 4-0 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
1-0
AWAY Tvaaker
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK nicked a narrow win over Tvaaker 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lunds BK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lunds BK had 62% of the ball to Tvaaker's 38%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lunds BK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lunds BK and 1.00 for Tvaaker.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs Tvaaker?

Lunds BK 1-0 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 45%, draw 27%, Tvaaker 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lunds BK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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