FBK Karlstad 4-2 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
16%
3.54
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.8pp
16%
Draw
24%
-8.5pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+7.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 38%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.01
-100% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
4-2
AWAY Stocksund
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad saw off Stocksund 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (42% / 16% / 42%) promised a tight game; FBK Karlstad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 39% of the ball to Stocksund's 61%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Stocksund?

FBK Karlstad 4-2 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 42%, draw 16%, Stocksund 42%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (42/16/42) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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