Norrby IF 1-2 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrby IF EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.30/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.30
+42% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrby IF
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Malmö
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
11.11.2023 Norrby IF Norrby IF 3-0 HT 2-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
15.04.2023 AFC Malmö 0-1 HT 0-1 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrby IF
1-2
AWAY AFC Malmö
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norrby IF vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö nicked a narrow win over Norrby IF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Norrby IF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Norrby IF had 45% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 55%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Norrby IF had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Norrby IF and 0.00 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Norrby IF vs AFC Malmö?

Norrby IF 1-2 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrby IF vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Norrby IF 48%, draw 21%, AFC Malmö 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norrby IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrby IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
14 Apr 2024
14:00 Umea FC vs IF Karlstad Analysis →
14:00 Örebro Syrianska vs Friska Viljor FC Analysis →
17:00 FBK Karlstad vs Stocksund Analysis →
17:00 Torns vs Oskarshamns AIK Analysis →
17:00 Hammarby Talang vs Assyriska Analysis →
18:00 FC Trollhattan vs Tvaaker Analysis →