FC Trollhattan 1-3 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Trollhattan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.48/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.28
-17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Trollhattan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tvaaker
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
26.06.2023 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 3-4 HT 2-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
06.08.2022 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
14.05.2022 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
15.08.2021 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 1-1 HT 0-1 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
01.05.2021 Tvaaker Tvaaker 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Trollhattan
1-3
AWAY Tvaaker
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Trollhattan vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tvaaker saw off FC Trollhattan 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Trollhattan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Trollhattan had 57% of the ball to Tvaaker's 43%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Trollhattan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Trollhattan and 1.00 for Tvaaker.

What was the final score of FC Trollhattan vs Tvaaker?

FC Trollhattan 1-3 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Trollhattan vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Trollhattan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Trollhattan 45%, draw 26%, Tvaaker 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Trollhattan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Trollhattan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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