Umea FC 5-2 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.17
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
28%
+11.8pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.6pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 51%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -14%
1.53/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.05
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY IF Karlstad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
16.09.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-2 HT 2-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
21.05.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 3-0 HT 2-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
30.10.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 1-1 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
30.07.2022 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
04.09.2021 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-0 HT 2-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
09.05.2021 Umea FC Umea FC 0-1 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
5-2
AWAY IF Karlstad
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC cruised past IF Karlstad 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 19% / 41%) promised a tight game; Umea FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Umea FC had 57% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 43%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Umea FC and 1.50 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs IF Karlstad?

Umea FC 5-2 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 40%, draw 19%, IF Karlstad 41%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IF Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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