Western Sydney Wanderers 0-2 Melbourne Victory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒12:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
11%
5.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.9
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
7%
8.33
X/2
17%
5.05
X/X
6%
5.98
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
23%
2.42
2/X
5%
11.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.9 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 54%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.14/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.37
-19% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
16.7 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Melbourne Victory
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.93 xG 1.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
323 Passes 367
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.01.2026 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
10.05.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-2 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
15.03.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-2 HT 1-2 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
04.01.2025 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
27.04.2024 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 3-4 HT 2-2 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
10.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-4 HT 0-2 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
0-2
AWAY Melbourne Victory
1.53 xG 1.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
386 Passes 292
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory saw off Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Victory as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 55% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 45%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.53 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 2.17 for Melbourne Victory.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory?

Western Sydney Wanderers 0-2 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - A-League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 30%, draw 21%, Melbourne Victory 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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