Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Newcastle Jets 4-0 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets ran out comfortable winners over Central Coast Mariners 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle Jets as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.
On the day, Newcastle Jets had 54% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 46%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.43 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.67 for Central Coast Mariners.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?
Newcastle Jets 4-0 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 53%, draw 19%, Central Coast Mariners 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.