Newcastle Jets 6-0 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒12:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.48
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.66
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
11%
12.65
X/1
10%
5.24
X/2
11%
7.68
X/X
10%
6.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.4
2/2
16%
4.78
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +20%
2.01/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.58
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
19.7 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.30 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
360 Passes 407
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
22.11.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
27.04.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
02.03.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
25.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
22.04.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-3 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets
6-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
3.41 xG 0.27
71% Ball Possession 29%
23 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
548 Passes 183
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets cruised past Central Coast Mariners 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Newcastle Jets made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Newcastle Jets had 71% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 29%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 3.41 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newcastle Jets and 2.33 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

Newcastle Jets 6-0 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 39%, draw 27%, Central Coast Mariners 34%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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