Perth Glory vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 1-1
Adelaide United
AVUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
Perth Glory 4-1 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics
Perth Glory cruised past Adelaide United 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Perth Glory had 38% of the ball to Adelaide United's 62%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.39 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Perth Glory and 2.83 for Adelaide United.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?
Perth Glory 4-1 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 26%, draw 21%, Adelaide United 53%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United) went the other way.