Adelaide United vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adelaide United v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Adelaide United vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 1-1
Adelaide United
AVUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
Adelaide United 2-2 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Adelaide United and Perth Glory shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Adelaide United at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Adelaide United had 72% of the ball to Perth Glory's 28%, shots finished 26-14, expected goals 2.22 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Adelaide United and 1.67 for Perth Glory.
What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Perth Glory?
Adelaide United 2-2 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 60%, draw 20%, Perth Glory 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United) went the other way.