Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals
Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics
Central Coast Mariners squeezed past Newcastle Jets 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Newcastle Jets at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 39% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 61%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 3.18 to 2.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.83 for Newcastle Jets.
What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 33%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets) went the other way.