Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.74
2-3 Goals
33%
2.15
4-5 Goals
33%
2.39
6+ Goals
9%
4.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.22
1/2
8%
17.85
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
9%
9.79
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
4.8
X/X
9%
6.96
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
27%
2.08
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · X/2 at 4.8 — our 22% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.3pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.39/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
-4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +126%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
330 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 84%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
17.8 Crosses 24.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
346 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-2 HT 2-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
12.04.2025 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 6-0 HT 2-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
01.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
22.11.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
27.04.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
02.03.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
0-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets
0.51 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 Passes 422
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newcastle Jets at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 44% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 56%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.51 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 2.00 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 23%, draw 21%, Newcastle Jets 56%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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