Macarthur 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.8
1/X
7%
12.05
X/1
17%
5.86
X/2
11%
6.16
X/X
9%
5.39
2/1
8%
23.95
2/2
17%
3.67
2/X
9%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.8 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macarthur EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +3%
1.71/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.47
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
24.1 Crosses 20.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macarthur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.70 xG 1.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
342 Passes 372
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 30
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.11.2025 Macarthur Macarthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
03.05.2025 Macarthur Macarthur 1-3 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
16.02.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.01.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-3 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.04.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 1-3 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macarthur
0-4
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.39 xG 1.97
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
405 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
48 Box Touches 12
53 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers cruised past Macarthur 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Western Sydney Wanderers made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Macarthur had 61% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 39%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.39 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Macarthur and 1.83 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Macarthur 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 38%, draw 25%, Western Sydney Wanderers 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Macarthur), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macarthur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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