Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 1-1 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar and Perth Glory couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 56% of the ball to Perth Glory's 44%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.83 for Perth Glory.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Brisbane Roar 1-1 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 49%, draw 24%, Perth Glory 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar), Over 2.5 went the other way.