Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
Perth Glory 1-2 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perth Glory had 54% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 46%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.81 to 1.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Perth Glory and 1.83 for Brisbane Roar.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?
Perth Glory 1-2 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 44%, draw 28%, Brisbane Roar 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory), Under 2.5 went the other way.