Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Perth Glory v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Perth Glory 1-2 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Perth Glory 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We leaned Perth Glory at 48% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in Perth Glory's favour, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.81 to 1.61.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Perth Glory against 1.83 for Brisbane Roar.
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar Result & Final Score
Perth Glory 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 48%, draw 28%, Brisbane Roar 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory), Under 2.5 went the other way.