Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
1-4
HT 0-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 0-1 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Perth Glory squeezed past Brisbane Roar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 63% of the ball to Perth Glory's 37%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.95 to 0.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brisbane Roar.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brisbane Roar and 2.00 for Perth Glory.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Brisbane Roar 0-1 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 51%, draw 22%, Perth Glory 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.