Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macarthur v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
AVUS
Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Western Sydney Wanderers got the better of Macarthur 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Western Sydney Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Macarthur had 51% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 49%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.96 to 1.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Macarthur and 2.50 for Western Sydney Wanderers.
What was the final score of Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 27%, draw 23%, Western Sydney Wanderers 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.