Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.75
2-3 Goals
42%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.27
1/2
12%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
9%
8.58
X/X
14%
6.75
2/1
10%
18.7
2/2
13%
5.54
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.5pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.54/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.95
-2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
380 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.7 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Macarthur
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.75 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
458 Passes 368
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-3 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.04.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 1-3 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
04.02.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 4-3 HT 3-3 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
01.01.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
08.04.2023 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
25.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Macarthur
2.28 xG 1.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
367 Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers squeezed past Macarthur 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western Sydney Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 50% of the ball to Macarthur's 50%, shots finished 20-21, expected goals 2.28 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.83 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur?

Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 41%, draw 25%, Macarthur 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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