Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
15%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
15%
6.12
X/2
13%
5.93
X/X
7%
5.54
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
19%
3.47
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macarthur EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.68/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.54
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
23.9 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macarthur
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.82 xG 1.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
364 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Macarthur Macarthur 1-3 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
16.02.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.01.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-3 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.04.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 1-3 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
04.02.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 4-3 HT 3-3 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
01.01.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macarthur
1-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.21 xG 2.55
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
290 Passes 402
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 43
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macarthur and Western Sydney Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Macarthur had 43% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 57%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.21 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Macarthur and 2.67 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 37%, draw 22%, Western Sydney Wanderers 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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