Auckland vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auckland v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals
Auckland vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Auckland 2-1 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics
Auckland nicked a narrow win over Adelaide United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auckland as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Auckland had 47% of the ball to Adelaide United's 53%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.30 to 1.21.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Auckland and 3.00 for Adelaide United.
What was the final score of Auckland vs Adelaide United?
Auckland 2-1 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auckland vs Adelaide United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Auckland 53%, draw 22%, Adelaide United 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.