Perth Glory 2-1 Brisbane Roar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.22
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.3
X/2
12%
6.39
X/X
11%
4.69
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
14%
4.31
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.7
Value flag · 2/X at 12.7 — our 11% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.44/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.72
-16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
25.8 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
319 Passes 445
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
16.01.2026 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
15.03.2025 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-3 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
21.12.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-1 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
23.07.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 2-4 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUK
17.02.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 3-2 HT 1-2 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
2-1
AWAY Brisbane Roar
2.59 xG 1.54
29% Ball Possession 71%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
165 Passes 493
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory squeezed past Brisbane Roar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Perth Glory as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Perth Glory had 29% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 71%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.59 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Perth Glory and 1.67 for Brisbane Roar.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?

Perth Glory 2-1 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 42%, draw 27%, Brisbane Roar 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth Glory), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✓ BTTS Yes
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