CSKA Sofia 1-3 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+8.1pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.69/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.11
-30% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
232 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2026 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
08.11.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
02.03.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
19.10.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
27.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-1 HT 3-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
07.04.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-3
AWAY Levski Sofia
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia beat CSKA Sofia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Levski Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 44% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 56%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.83 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

CSKA Sofia 1-3 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 37%, draw 24%, Levski Sofia 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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