Lens (K) 0-1 Marsilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 25 Apr 2026

Lens (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Marsilya (K)
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Lens (K) vs Marsilya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens (K) v Marsilya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.36/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.75
+9% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
15.7 Crosses 14.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Lens (K) vs Marsilya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marsilya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.63 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
300 Passes 318
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.11.2025 Marsilya (K) Marsilya (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Lens (K) Lens (K) FRK1

Lens (K) 0-1 Marsilya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens (K)
0-1
AWAY Marsilya (K)
0.76 xG 0.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
200 Passes 373
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lens (K) vs Marsilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya (K) squeezed past Lens (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Marsilya (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lens (K) had 40% of the ball to Marsilya (K)'s 60%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.76 to 0.37.

What was the final score of Lens (K) vs Marsilya (K)?

Lens (K) 0-1 Marsilya (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens (K) vs Marsilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lens (K) 34%, draw 28%, Marsilya (K) 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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