Paju Citizen 2-3 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.41
+117% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.0 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.03.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paju Citizen
2-3
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
226 Passes 197
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC nicked a narrow win over Paju Citizen 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paju Citizen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Paju Citizen had 52% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 48%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC?

Paju Citizen 2-3 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 41%, draw 28%, Gyeongnam FC 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
25 Apr 2026
08:00 Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park Analysis →
10:30 Cheonan City vs Seongnam Analysis →
10:30 Ansan Greeners vs Jeonnam Dragons Analysis →